6.6 Summary

The scenarios predict an increasing trend of temperature in UYR at 3.2℃by 2099.Emission A2 has resulted higher temperature increase than B2.Forscenario A2，the precipitation shows a general drop in the future to a maximum reduction of 8.2%.Increase occurs in the northern and eastern areas andthe southern area is supposed to be on the decline in the future.The surfacewater generation and groundwater recharge show downward trend at basinscale; and the spatial evolution is consistent with precipitation changes.ET hasa large rise in the future exceeding 62% by 2099; however，the result may befaced with complicated uncertainties in trend analysis.The stream flow is sensitive to the precipitation，and the results show a considerable magnitude reduction in the future by the maximum of about ......     （共1372字）    [阅读本文]>>