6.5 Results and discussion

6.5.1 Temperature and precipitation

Temperature and precipitation are statistically downscaled to local weatherstations.Annual and seasonal temperature shows good agreements between observation and prediction.Future increase in temperature is obvious [Figure 6-(4)].Generally，it shows a clear warming-up phase during the last 40 yearsfor both A2 and B2.Increase in annual mean temperature is detected.Temperature shows larger linear gradient for A2.Maximum temperature ofA2 exceeds 14.5℃，about 2.5℃ higher than B2.Difference of temperaturechanging rate between wet and dry season is obvious as compared in Figure 6-4 (b) and Figure 6-4 (c).Temperature increase shows significant difference(P<0.05) from 2050 to 2099.However，warming-up occurs obviously inwinter and spring，with highest ......     （共18344字）    [阅读本文]>>